With less than two weeks until the US election, why are we still compulsively clicking on election forecasts? European cities are trying to attract London’s businesses with wine, sunshine, and more post-Brexit. And the trailer for Netflix’s Gilmore Girls revival is out.
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It’s almost impossible to escape election forecasts. Here’s what they actually mean.
Most forecasts base their projections largely on polls, though some rely on betting markets. They also represent the odds that a candidate will win on Nov. 8, given what we know today. Tracking them obsessively can feel like a way to cope with our election-related anxiety — though it probably does more to fuel that anxiety than to allay it.
So why do polls change so much? People change their minds — and polls capture only a small slice of voters. Still, no matter how the numbers stack up, it’s all just an educated guess until the votes are counted.
BuzzFeed News; Getty
Donald Trump wants President Barack Obama to be investigated over Hillary Clinton’s private email server.
Former Secretary of State Colin Powell, a Republican, said he’s voting for Clinton.
Clinton has avoided targeting Senate Republicans for months, but in the final weeks before the election, she's shifting gears.
Laura Diaz of San Antonio, Texas. “I am a conservative that thinks for herself and does not vote based on the party-line stance. I decide to support Trump because he is not a career politician and not funded by special interest groups.” Edoardo Delille
WE'RE KEEPING AN EYE ON
This is how European cities are trying to attract London’s businesses post-Brexit.
Madrid: The Spanish capital offers cheaper rent compared with its competitors, more sunshine and less rain (and the charts to prove it), the best food, and better football teams, the city says.
Frankfurt: Representatives were in London last month to pitch the benefits of moving to Germany’s financial capital. Their message was one of economic strength, good universities, thriving local industry, dozens of international schools, and great transport links, alongside a vibrant cultural scene, nearby forests, and vineyards.
Berlin: Germany’s second player in the game is pushing hard to attract technology startups and FinTech companies.
Amsterdam: The Dutch capital’s marketing pitch centers on its location, charm, digital connectivity, and high-quality talent pool.
DID YOU HEAR ABOUT THIS?
Transgender rights: How the bathroom fight is dividing top LGBT leaders and could change the future of the movement.
Conservatives have blocked LGBT nondiscrimination legislation in part by claiming transgender people pose a threat in women’s restrooms. So some LGBT leaders are willing to support bills covering only housing and employment — not “bathroom” issues like public accommodation. Other leaders reject that compromise and may risk losing funding over the fight. A lot of funding, and the future of the movement, is up in the air.
This is the second article in a BuzzFeed News series on transgender rights in America.